A 46 year old woman presents with progressive exertional dyspnea, lower extremity edema, and abdominal distention. Her pretest probability of pulmonary hypertension is estimated at 30%. A screening echocardiogram yields a positive result with a positive likelihood ratio of 4. A confirmatory test then returns positive with a second positive likelihood ratio of 5. Assuming independent tests, which of the following is the approximate final posttest odds of disease?

  1. A)8.6GABARITO
  2. B)4.3
  3. C)20
  4. D)0.86
  5. E)2.0

Explicação

Pretest odds are 0.30/0.70 = 0.43. After 2 independent positive tests, posttest odds equal 0.43 × 4 × 5 ≈ 8.6. Serial testing multiplies odds by the likelihood ratios of each test, which markedly increases disease probability when both tests are strongly posit... Ver explicação completa e trilha adaptativa →

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