A 45-year-old woman with no significant medical history presents for routine breast cancer screening mammography. The examination is interpreted as BI-RADS 4 (suspicious for malignancy), and she is referred for ultrasound-guided biopsy. Pathology returns benign fibrocystic changes. The radiologist notes the mammography has 90% sensitivity and 85% specificity for detecting breast cancer in women aged 40-50 years. The patient asks why a positive mammogram did not definitively confirm she had cancer. Which of the following best explains this result?
- A)Sensitivity and specificity are properties of the test that vary based on whether it is used for screening versus diagnostic purposes
- B)The positive predictive value of mammography depends on the prevalence of breast cancer in the screened populationGABARITO
- C)The specificity of 85% is too low; mammography should only be used if specificity exceeds 95%
- D)Negative predictive value is a more clinically relevant parameter than positive predictive value for cancer screening
- E)The test's 90% sensitivity indicates that 10% of women without breast cancer will test positive
Explicação
Positive predictive value (PPV)—the probability that a positive test truly indicates disease—is calculated as: PPV = (sensitivity × prevalence) / [(sensitivity × prevalence) + (1 - specificity) × (1 - prevalence)]. Since breast cancer prevalence is relatively ... Ver explicação completa e trilha adaptativa →